Popular strategies, run exactly as taught on every NIFTY 50 stock from 2016 to August 2026, with real costs. Most fail. Each post shows why, with the exact code.
A noise-band breakout from "Beat the Market" and the market intraday momentum effect, applied to every NIFTY 50 stock from 2016. The first had a real edge that shrank every period; the second has almost none.
26,965 trades, −₹1.09 Cr. The pattern does worse than a random stock at the same minute.
Every report shows net after costs, a +3 bps stress test and three periods. No exceptions.
23,666 trades, −₹23.7 lakh after costs. 0 of 8 variants profitable.
Breakout −₹2.21 Cr, bounce −₹3.36 Cr. The two are mirror images, and both lose every year.
Supertrend −₹1.19 Cr, Open=Low −₹31 L, Camarilla −₹2.27 Cr. All three lose in every period.
Today's 50 stocks returned 16.2% a year since 2016; the real index stocks returned 12.8%.
Win rate 43% → 84% while the loss more than doubles, −₹1.98 Cr → −₹4.52 Cr.
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